基于Multi-Agent系统的预测支持系统的结构

Agent技术是人工智能和计算机科学领域内新兴的研究热点,自治Agent和多Agent系统为复杂软件系统的分析、设计和实现提供了新的思路.给出一种基于Multi-Agent系统的预测支持系统的结构,将系统设计成由多个Agent组成的多Agent系统.各个Agent有自己的功能,可以独立自主地运行,还可以协同工作完成系统整体目标.     

硬轴连接的多台直流电动机拖动系统

本文对多台直流电动机（他励）硬轴联接时的负荷平衡问题进行了研究，并给出了双电机拖动的负荷平衡调节的方案。     

分布仿真实验管理系统的设计与实现

分布仿真实验管理是分布仿真应用研究的热点和新方向,实验管理系统支持实验的设计、运行和监控,通过对分布仿真数据、模型等资源的集中存储管理和对软硬件环境的全面控制,实现对仿真实验全方位全过程的管理。分布仿真实验管理系统的推出,实现了对仿真实验的合理规划,同时也实现了对仿真系统中程序,联邦,成员和数据的运行全过程有效管理控制。相对于仿真系统传统的手工运行方式,实验管理系统不仅规范了分布仿真实验的过程、提高了实验的自动化程度,还实现了对分布仿真实验设计与运行的全面支持,降低了分布仿真系统和技术的应用门槛,可进一步促进仿真技术的应用和仿真学科的发展。该系统已成为HLA仿真系统中不可缺少的组成部分。     

Using the bootstrap to evaluate forecasting equations

The bootstrap, like the jack-knife, is a technique for estimating standard errors. The idea is to use Monte Carlo simulation, based on a non-parametric estimate of the underlying error distribution. The bootstrap will be applied to an econometric equation describing the demand for energy by industry, to determine multi-period forecasting error and choose among competing specifications. The delta method for estimating forecast errors turns out to be too optimistic by a factor of 2.     

板环式测力称重传感器的 CAD—分析与设计

本文以板环式测力称重传感器敏感元件的特性参数，外形尺寸，应变材料强度的数学建模为目标，以图１结构为例讨论和计算了这种结构形态下的应力场和应变场，并对其进行了优化设计。     

Recursive estimation and forecasting of non-stationary time series

The paper presents a unified, fully recursive approach to the modelling and forecasting of non-stationary time-series. The basic time-series model, which is based on the well-known ‘component’ or ‘structuraL’ form, is formulated in state-space terms. A novel spectral decomposition procedure, based on the exploitation of recursive smoothing algorithms, is then utilized to simplify the procedures of model identification and estimation. Finally, the fully recursive formulation allows for conventional or self-adaptive implementation of state-space forecasting and seasonal adjustment. Although the paper is restricted to the consideration of univariate time series, the basic approach can be extended to handle explanatory variables or full multivariable (vector) series.     

Green函数法在轴对称圆板中的应用

本文引入Green函数求解了在线载和线偶作用下的圆板问题,文中的方法与经典的方法比较,避免了求方程的特解,所得的结果与经典解是相同的.     

Estimation procedures for structural time series models

A univariate structural time series model based on the traditional decomposition into trend, seasonal and irregular components is defined. A number of methods of computing maximum likelihood estimators are then considered. These include direct maximization of various time domain likelihood function. The asymptotic properties of the estimators are given and a comparison between the various methods in terms of computational efficiency and accuracy is made. The methods are then extended to models with explanatory variables.     

基于InfiniBand的集群分布式并行绘制系统设计

为解决 sort-first型并行绘制负载不均衡和网络拥塞问题,在研究原有体系结构的基础上,提出了一种基于InfiniBand高速网络的PC集群分布式并行图形绘制解决方案。增加了显示节点负责场景显示。使用一种改进型的基于绘制历史的动态负载均衡算法解决了负载不平衡问题;利用InfiniBand消息传输机制开发了同步控制策略,有效地实现了帧同步。实验结果表明,该方案在保存场景一致完整性的基础上,与传统体系结构相比,显著地提高了系统帧率,降低网络通讯消耗。     

Cascading failure of complex networks based on load local preferential redistribution rule北大核心CSCD

To better explore the universal robustness against cascading failures on complex networks, closely focusing on the load which is the most important physical quantity that can affect the spread of cascading failure, and dynamic process after a node fails, a cascading failure model with tunable parameters is proposed based on the local characteristic of node. With this model we study the cascading failure condition of ER and BA networks, and obtain the formula of phase transition point theoretically. The relationship between the robustness against cascading failures on complex networks and parameters in the model, including the topology parameters, the initial load coefficient, and the redistribution coefficient, is discussed numerically. In addition, theoretical results also are verified by the simulation results of the ER and BA networks. ©, 2015, The Journal Agency of Complex Systems and Complexity Science. All right reserved.